Detailed Methodology: Survey of Bosnia and Herzegovina Public Opinion, October 30-November 16, 2007

March 12, 2008
 
The results of this poll will not be released by IRI.  However, IRI is making available the methodology and the demographics to demonstrate that the poll complies with professional standards in the industry.
 

The poll field work was conducted by Prism based in Sarajevo, Bosnia and Herzegovina.  Oversight and analysis was provided by Jamie Fisfis of Centaur Research in San Francisco.

The field work was conducted October 30 - November 16, 2007.

The poll surveyed a nationwide random, multi-stage stratified representative sample.

Sample size: 1,550 Eligibility criteria: age 18 and older

The questionaire was developed by IRI and Prism Research in close consultation with political parties and civil society groups. Officials of parties submitted their questions after participating in a seminar about methodology of public opinion polls and surveys in Bosnia and Herzegovina.

For entire sample Bosnia and Herzegovina (N=1,550) the margin of error is ± three percent.  For each of sample of three ethnic majority areas (N=500) the margin of error is ± 4.5 percent.

The population under study is representative for the adult population of Bosnia and Herzegovina and included all regions.

Territory of Bosnia and Herzegovina was split into two entities plus District Brčko.

Territory of Federation Bosnia and Herzegovina was split into two large ethnic (Bosniak and Croat) majority areas. Republika Srpska was treated as area with Serb numeric majority.

Each of these ethnic majority areas were split further into 17 geographic regions, proportional to the size of population in each region to the total population in each ethnic majority area.

Minimum two and maximum three municipalites were randomly selected in each region – one per each category of municipality size (regional centers, middle and small size municipalities). Sample covered more than 40 municipalities in total.

In each municiaplity, urban and rural settlements were randomly selected from the list of all settlements. The sample covered almost 300 different settlements in more than 50 municipalities and 18 geographic regions. The sample was set to around 60-40 percent ratio in urban and rural areas. Maximum number of interviews per one sampling point was four.

Household addresses were randomly selected using random walk technique.

Household members were randomly selected using last birthday technique.

Results are weighted in two ways - Bosnia and Herzegovina nationwide and within each ethnic majority area.

Demographic Breakdown
 
 
Percent of sample
Region
Una – Sana Canton
6.64
Posavina Canton
1.15
Tuzla Canton
11.9
Zenica – Doboj Canton
10.52
Bosnia – Podrinje Canton
0.69
Central Bosnia Canton (Bosniac majority)
3.64
Herzegovina – Neretva canton (Bosniac majority)
1.92
Western Herzegovina Canton
2.26
Sarajevo Canton
10.08
Herzeg – Bosnia Canton
2.13
Banja Luka – North West
16.25
Doboj North
8.2
Bijeljina – North East
5.77
Pale East
6.09
Trebinje – South East
3.31
Central Bosnia Canton (Croat majority)
3.38
Herzegovina - Neretva Canton (Croat majority)
3.97
District Brčko
2.12
Entity
Federation BiH
58.27
Republika Srpska
39.62
District Brcko
2.12
Type
Town
42.9
Village
57.1
Gender
Male
49
Female
51
Age
18 - 35
34.43
36 - 50
30.58
51+
34.97
Education
No formal education or uncompleted primary school
16.73
Completed primary school
16.91
Uncompleted or completed secondary school
53.93
Higher Education
7.58
Faculty
3.09
Post-graduate or doctorate
0.53
Do Not Wish to Answer
1.23
Incomes
Up to100 KM
11.68
101 - 300 KM
28.11
301 - 500 KM
19.11
501 - 700 KM
11.76
701 - 900 KM
6.68
901 - 1100 KM
2.37
1101 - 1500 KM
1.93
1501 - 2000 KM
0.59
2000 - 3000 KM
0.16
3000 KM and more
0.17
Don't Know/Do Not Wish to Answer
17.44