IRI Survey Explores Syrian Opposition Visions for Post-Assad Syria
Given security considerations, the survey was conducted electronically using a referral, or “snowball” method, rather than through strictly random selection of respondents, as would be done in a public opinion poll. To achieve broader representation, key individuals (or channels) were used to initiate the referral chain, ultimately reaching a sample of 1,168 opposition members, approximately 315 of whom were inside Syria. Margin of error is not strictly applicable to this survey because of the non-random selection of respondents.
- When asked to rate countries based on the desirability of their internal political models, France, the United States and Turkey all scored highest earning averages of 5.45, 5.35 and 5.33 out of seven respectively. Iraq and Iran achieved the lowest ratings with 1.65 and 1.26 respectively.
- The survey demonstrated opposition support of measures that would prevent future discrimination against minorities including Kurds (5.04/7) and Alawites (4.69/7).
- More generally, when asked if police and government officials should protect all individuals equally regardless of background, respondents very strongly agreed averaging 6.7 out of seven.
Regarding religion’s place in the constitution and public life, respondents exhibited the most support a system that respectfully acknowledges religion but gives no priority to any specific religious viewpoint, with this model scoring 5.23 out of seven. It should be noted that results were not unanimous on this point, with the second most popular model being a constitution based on Islam (4.43/7).