Washington, DC – IRI today issued the following statement regarding the exit poll it conducted in conjunction with Kenya’s December 27 elections.
“IRI conducted an exit poll in conjunction with Kenya’s December 27, 2007 elections. Release of the poll was initially delayed due to incomplete data. Once all the data was received and a review of the poll was conducted, serious issues were raised.
“Issues that have arisen include:
- Concern over the possibility of compromised questionnaires due to the unrest following the elections and the significant delay in data being returned to Nairobi as a result;
- Significant problems with duplicate and non-sequential numbering of questionnaires during the coding process which indicates possible missing questionnaires or duplicate data-entry of results;
- In the full sample there were no voters who responded undecided or refused to answer the presidential ballot test question. However, in the over-sample there were voters who responded undecided or refused to answer; and
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Data from the parliamentary ballot test question was excluded from the full data set making it impossible to compare the presidential ballot test question and the parliamentary ballot test question to check for anomalies.
“As a result, IRI does not have confidence in the integrity of the data and therefore believes the poll is invalid. The Institute will not release a poll it believes is invalid and in which we do not have full confidence.”
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