New National Survey of Ukraine Highlights Ukrainian Views on Economic and Geopolitical Issues

In December 2019, the International Republican Institute (IRI) conducted a national poll throughout Ukraine to measure public perceptions of government performance, views on the EU and NATO, the situation in Donbas, views on land and housing reform and attitudes toward political parties and leading politicians. IRI conducted municipal oversample surveys in the Ukrainian cities of Bilhorod-Dnistrovskyi, Zaporizhzhia, Uzhhorod and Chernihiv in order to investigate perceptions of municipal governance in four focus communities of IRI’s “Ukraine Responsive and Accountable Politics (U-RAP)” project, funded by the U.S. Agency for International Development (USAID). The polling data provides Ukraine’s development partners, political parties, local government officials, civil society groups and citizens insights into the priorities of Ukrainians as the country approaches local elections in October 2020.

Methodology
The national survey was conducted throughout Ukraine (except for the occupied territory of Crimea and nongovernment-controlled areas of Donbas) from December 13 to 29, 2019, through face-to-face interviews at respondents’ homes. In addition to the national sample, oversample interviews were conducted in four cities between December 13, 2019 and January 8, 2020 by Sociological Group “Rating” (Rating Group Ukraine) on behalf of the  International Republican Institute‘s  Center for Insights in Survey Research.    

The national sample consisted of 2,389 residents of Ukraine aged 18 and older, who are eligible to vote. In addition, interviews in four cities (Bilhorod-Dnistrovskyi, Zaporizhzhia, Uzhhorod and Chernihiv) were boosted to n=1,200 each.  

The distribution of the population by regions, settlements and electoral districts is based on statistical data of the Central Election Commission from the 2019 presidential elections, and the distribution of the population by gender and age is based on data of the State Statistics Committee of Ukraine as of January 1, 2018.  

A multi-stage probability sampling method was used with the random route and “last birthday” methods for respondent selection. All samples are weighted to be representative with respect to gender and age. The margin of error does not exceed 2.0 percent in the national survey and does not exceed 2.8 percent in the oversample surveys conducted in Bilhorod-Dnistrovskyi, Zaporizhzhia, Uzhhorod and Chernihiv. The national sample response rate was 64 percent, while the oversample response rates ranged from 62 percent to 65 percent. Charts and graphs may not add up to 100 percent due to rounding. The survey was funded by the U.S. Agency for International Development (USAID).